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Where the margin leaks in a commodity deal

Written for traders and operations managers at small and mid-sized houses. Every article solves one concrete problem, whether or not you use Granel.

A laptop screen showing a cost spreadsheet where two rows sit outside the outline of a sum, next to a binder of invoices on an office desk
Latest10 min

The €40,000 formula error nobody caught until the year-end close

A reconstructed case: two cost lines typed just below a SUM range leave €400 per container out of the margin. How it happened and three checks that catch it.

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Stacks of containers in a wet port yard under a stormy sky at sunset, with one red container set apart from the rest next to a reach stacker
9 min

How to see that a trade is heading for trouble three weeks before it ships

Margin below your average, freight high for its route, loading with no documents and a late milestone: the 4 signs that warn weeks ahead, and how to track them.

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A gantry crane lifting a 20-foot container onto a berthed container ship at dusk, with the terminal lights on and reflections on the water
10 min

The 6 milestones that stop a shipment from falling apart

Booking, gate-in, on board, B/L, arrival and release: what must be done at each milestone, when it falls due and what to check if a date slips by.

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A truck carrying a 20-foot container through the gate of a port terminal on an overcast morning, with wet ground and gantry cranes and container stacks in the background
11 min

What a container really costs, line by line

The full cost of a 20-tonne container, from the FOB purchase to the customer’s warehouse: thirteen lines, who pays each one under each Incoterm, and VAT.

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A mound of bulk grain in a storage hall at sunrise, with light coming in through the roof skylights and a wheel loader parked in the background
11 min

You bought at 2,400 and today the market pays 2,250: what your unsold goods are worth

Mark-to-market in physical trading: what the goods you bought and have not sold are worth today, the formula, where the price comes from, units and currencies.

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An office desk by a window overlooking a container terminal with cranes and a ship alongside: an open folder of invoices, a calculator, a pen and a mug
13 min

The deal you thought was a winner that closed at a loss

A deal with €7,800 of margin on the sheet that ends at −€1,212: the eight variances in order, when each one was known and how to reconcile actual costs.

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Industrial platform scale in a bright coffee warehouse at sunrise: a few jute sacks stacked at one end and the rest of the platform empty, with rows of sacks and an open loading door behind
11 min

How much product do you have bought but not sold, or sold but not bought? If it takes you more than 10 seconds to say, you have a problem

Open position in physical commodity trading: goods bought but not sold (long) or sold but not bought (short), with the sum by product and a 10-second test.

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An inspector in a high-visibility vest, seen from behind, taking a grain sample with a probe from an open container full of jute sacks, with a ship and cranes in the background
12 min

The 9 costs that eat your GP and are not in your spreadsheet

The nine costs of importing or exporting a container that almost no spreadsheet captures, how to estimate each one before you quote and what they eat.

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A container ship moored at a port terminal at dawn, with gantry cranes and stacked containers behind it
11 min

The FX gap that opens between fixing the price and getting paid

FX risk on one container, line by line: the euro move that wipes out your margin, when the exposure ends and four ways to manage it.

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Jute sacks stacked in a port warehouse and a worker, seen from behind, checking papers next to the goods
6 min

Why the margin in your spreadsheet is not the margin you collect

Your sheet shows the budgeted margin; the bank credits the settled one. One container line by line, the five leaks between them and how to reconcile.

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Stacked containers in a port terminal yard at dusk, with a gantry crane in the background
8 min

Demurrage: the surprise invoice nobody budgets for

Why demurrage is rarely bad luck, how tiered charges add up, and the three dates that warn you two weeks before the vessel berths.

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Freight invoices, a pen and a calculator on an office desk, with a blurred port behind the window
7 min

Your forwarder is overcharging you and your spreadsheet cannot prove it

How to build a historical freight benchmark per route from your own shipments, and spot the outlier before you pay the invoice.

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Laptop showing a spreadsheet, a cup of coffee and a bowl with a grain sample on a trader’s desk
11 min

How to audit your trading spreadsheet in an afternoon: the 5 faults that break the margin

The five errors that make your spreadsheet margin differ from the real one, each with the exact check that catches it in your own file.

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