Blog
Where the margin leaks in a commodity deal
Written for traders and operations managers at small and mid-sized houses. Every article solves one concrete problem, whether or not you use Granel.

The €40,000 formula error nobody caught until the year-end close
A reconstructed case: two cost lines typed just below a SUM range leave €400 per container out of the margin. How it happened and three checks that catch it.
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How to see that a trade is heading for trouble three weeks before it ships
Margin below your average, freight high for its route, loading with no documents and a late milestone: the 4 signs that warn weeks ahead, and how to track them.
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The 6 milestones that stop a shipment from falling apart
Booking, gate-in, on board, B/L, arrival and release: what must be done at each milestone, when it falls due and what to check if a date slips by.
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What a container really costs, line by line
The full cost of a 20-tonne container, from the FOB purchase to the customer’s warehouse: thirteen lines, who pays each one under each Incoterm, and VAT.
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You bought at 2,400 and today the market pays 2,250: what your unsold goods are worth
Mark-to-market in physical trading: what the goods you bought and have not sold are worth today, the formula, where the price comes from, units and currencies.
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The deal you thought was a winner that closed at a loss
A deal with €7,800 of margin on the sheet that ends at −€1,212: the eight variances in order, when each one was known and how to reconcile actual costs.
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How much product do you have bought but not sold, or sold but not bought? If it takes you more than 10 seconds to say, you have a problem
Open position in physical commodity trading: goods bought but not sold (long) or sold but not bought (short), with the sum by product and a 10-second test.
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The 9 costs that eat your GP and are not in your spreadsheet
The nine costs of importing or exporting a container that almost no spreadsheet captures, how to estimate each one before you quote and what they eat.
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The FX gap that opens between fixing the price and getting paid
FX risk on one container, line by line: the euro move that wipes out your margin, when the exposure ends and four ways to manage it.
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Why the margin in your spreadsheet is not the margin you collect
Your sheet shows the budgeted margin; the bank credits the settled one. One container line by line, the five leaks between them and how to reconcile.
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Demurrage: the surprise invoice nobody budgets for
Why demurrage is rarely bad luck, how tiered charges add up, and the three dates that warn you two weeks before the vessel berths.
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Your forwarder is overcharging you and your spreadsheet cannot prove it
How to build a historical freight benchmark per route from your own shipments, and spot the outlier before you pay the invoice.
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How to audit your trading spreadsheet in an afternoon: the 5 faults that break the margin
The five errors that make your spreadsheet margin differ from the real one, each with the exact check that catches it in your own file.
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